If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

The United States may have just emerged from a long, quiet downturn that never showed up in the official record. A prominent ...

These include France (0.9 percent), Germany 0.9 (percent) and Italy (0.8 percent), but forecasts for the eurozone are sluggish as the block battles elevated debt levels, trade policy uncertainties as ...

The US labor market has weakened since March 2025, and it's likely to continue weakening based on the policies in place, ...

Economists may have a pretty dismal record with predictions. But we're still interested in what they see in their ...

Most economists expect the U.S. economy to avoid a recession and grow moderately in 2026, though inflation could remain above ...

Central Ohio economist Bill Lafayette released his economic outlook for the region at a Columbus Metropolitan Club forum on ...

The American economy at the end of 2025 looks very different from a year ago. Tariffs are higher, AI occupies a greater share ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.